2026 Candidates In-Tournament TPR Prediction Win Probability Evolution

2026 Candidates Win Probability Evolution

🎯 Win Probability Evolution: 2026 FIDE Candidates

Rounds 0–6 | All players start equal at 12.5% (R0)

💡 Hover over points for exact Win%. Click legend items to toggle players.

Source: CITF v1.2+LTB Model | Win% from 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations | Baseline: 8 players → 12.5% each at R0 | Round 6, 2026 FIDE Candidates

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